Airport Disruption Odds

How often does weather delay flights at London Heathrow?

From January 2018 to September 2026, EUROCONTROL recorded arrival restrictions for weather (regulation reason W) at London Heathrow (LHR) on 1,017 of 3,195 days (32%). The worst month is December: 54% of days and 3.1 minutes of weather delay per arriving flight on average. Calmest: July (14% of days). Weather caused 84% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes at this airport. Source: EUROCONTROL.

Data: EUROCONTROL arrival regulation data, January 2018 – September 2026 · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

32%of days with weather restrictions on arrivals
1.42minutes of weather delay per arriving flight
84%of arrival-regulation delay caused by weather

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Month by month

MonthDays with weather restrictionsDays with ≥ 1 min per arrivalMinutes per arriving flight
January40%31%1.54
February45%37%2.16
March38%31%1.69
April24%19%1.16
May19%15%0.85
June18%14%0.50
July14%12%0.46
August21%16%0.77
September38%31%1.61
October40%32%1.83
November37%28%1.64
December54%46%3.14

Share of days on which EUROCONTROL's network manager limited arrivals because of weather at or around the airport (regulation reason W), 2018–2026. Minutes per arriving flight = weather-regulation delay ÷ all arrivals that month. Worst weeks of the year: week 51 (64%), week 49 (59%), week 10 (52%).

Year by year

YearDays with weather restrictionsMinutes per arriving flightArrivals
2018130 of 3651.39238,943
2019153 of 3651.55239,060
202054 of 3661.38102,400
20218 of 3650.0597,663
202268 of 3650.68190,212
2023144 of 3651.46228,421
2024228 of 3663.06238,204
2025150 of 3651.32240,069
2026 (Jan–Sep)82 of 2730.70176,646

2020–2021: far fewer flights during the pandemic.

Weather among all causes

Cause of arrival regulationShare of delay minutes
Weather84%
Air traffic control capacity7%
Aerodrome capacity6%

Causes with at least 2% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes, 2018–2026.

What the weather was like on those days

In the airport's weather reports (METAR, 05–21 UTC)Days with weather restrictionsOther daysRatio
Thunderstorm reported4.3%1.5%—
Fog or visibility under 800 m7.2%1.0%—
Cloud base at or below 200 ft7.1%1.3%—
Gusts of 30 knots or more16%3.7%4.2×
Crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway2.5%0.2%—
Snow1.7%0.9%—
Freezing rain or drizzle0.2%0.0%—

On 69% of the restriction days none of these showed up in the airport's own reports: restrictions are also set on forecasts, for weather on the approach or elsewhere in the area, and when the wind direction forces a less efficient runway layout. The weather is what came with the delays, not proof of their cause. Based on 3,195 days with full METAR coverage.

The heaviest days

Date and reported weatherWeather delay, minutesArrivalsMinutes per arrival
27 December 2024
Cloud base at or below 200 ft
19,80164330.8
27 November 2018
Fog or visibility under 800 m; Cloud base at or below 200 ft
16,49361826.7
11 December 2022
Fog or visibility under 800 m; Cloud base at or below 200 ft; Snow
16,04449332.5
24 November 2024
Gusts of 30 knots or more; Crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway (gusts to 40 kt)
15,80253429.6
29 December 2024
Cloud base at or below 200 ft
15,70863624.7

What these numbers cover