A flight running at least three hours late or cancelled is rare, and even that share overstates your chance of getting paid. Bad weather, air traffic control staffing and other people's strikes count as extraordinary circumstances, and UK261 pays no compensation for them. There are no causes in the UK Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) data for 2025, so the site's figures are only an upper estimate of cases that qualify for compensation.
Where disruptions happen most
It's worst on the islands and in the north: on Aberdeen – Wick 23% of 641 flights, on London Gatwick – Newquay 18%; weather cancellations there, per the table caption, are routine. Across airports the spread runs from 0.8% at Stansted to 1.8% at Heathrow. At Heathrow, weather restricted arrivals on 32% of days between January 2018 and September 2026.
Which airlines
Ryanair and Jet2 disrupted 0.8% of flights each, Aer Lingus 3.3%, Loganair 3.6%. You claim from the airline first; without a final reply within 8 weeks, or with a poor one, you go to ADR if the airline is in a scheme, otherwise to the CAA (PACT).