Airport Disruption Odds

UK flights 3+ hours late or cancelled: routes, airports and airlines

In 2025, 1.6% of 1,879,998 scheduled flights at the 25 UK airports reported to the CAA were cancelled or at least 3 hours late. On the median busy route (500+ flights) it was 1.1%, about 1 in 88. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so these shares are an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

How it works ↓

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

UK airports

Airport3h+ late or cancelledFlightsRoutes
London Heathrow1.8%481,840160
London Gatwick1.4%250,536116
Manchester1.8%185,35592
London Stansted0.8%178,257111
Edinburgh1.5%118,04763
London Luton0.9%102,81468
Birmingham1.5%84,45943
Bristol1.2%69,11036
Glasgow2.2%64,17133
London City1.7%48,22720
Belfast International1.0%44,73018
Newcastle1.3%38,83420
Liverpool1.3%38,48018
Leeds Bradford1.9%32,25116
Belfast City2.9%27,95914
Aberdeen4.0%27,83714
East Midlands0.6%20,64212
Southampton4.2%16,1829
Jersey2.7%15,78010
Isle of Man2.9%8,9457
Bournemouth0.6%7,6295
Exeter4.2%5,0645
London Southend0.7%5,0332
Cardiff1.9%4,5604
Teesside4.6%3,2562

A flight running at least three hours late or cancelled is rare, and even that share overstates your chance of getting paid. Bad weather, air traffic control staffing and other people's strikes count as extraordinary circumstances, and UK261 pays no compensation for them. There are no causes in the UK Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) data for 2025, so the site's figures are only an upper estimate of cases that qualify for compensation.

Where disruptions happen most

It's worst on the islands and in the north: on Aberdeen – Wick 23% of 641 flights, on London Gatwick – Newquay 18%; weather cancellations there, per the table caption, are routine. Across airports the spread runs from 0.8% at Stansted to 1.8% at Heathrow. At Heathrow, weather restricted arrivals on 32% of days between January 2018 and September 2026.

Which airlines

Ryanair and Jet2 disrupted 0.8% of flights each, Aer Lingus 3.3%, Loganair 3.6%. You claim from the airline first; without a final reply within 8 weeks, or with a poor one, you go to ADR if the airline is in a scheme, otherwise to the CAA (PACT).

Worst busy routes

Many of the worst routes fly to small islands, where weather cancellations are common — and do not give a right to compensation.

Most reliable routes with 2,000+ flights

Airlines

Airline3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlights
easyJet1.3%1.25%–1.32%393,836
British Airways1.6%1.56%–1.64%354,406
Ryanair0.8%0.77%–0.83%337,575
Jet20.8%0.71%–0.80%121,735
Aer Lingus3.3%3.15%–3.41%71,987
Wizz Air1.2%1.08%–1.26%58,084
Loganair3.6%3.43%–3.74%57,028
KLM2.8%2.69%–3.01%42,141
Lufthansa1.6%1.43%–1.73%27,324
Virgin Atlantic1.7%1.57%–1.89%25,707
Vueling1.1%0.98%–1.25%23,569
TUI1.2%1.00%–1.33%16,591
American Airlines4.6%4.3%–5.0%16,116
United Airlines3.5%3.2%–3.8%15,657
SAS1.1%0.97%–1.31%14,995
Turkish Airlines0.7%0.59%–0.86%14,837
Swiss1.4%1.25%–1.64%14,387
Emirates0.6%0.53%–0.80%14,015
Norwegian0.9%0.71%–1.02%13,681
Air France1.8%1.6%–2.1%13,380
Eurowings1.2%1.07%–1.44%13,291
Qatar Airways1.1%0.93%–1.31%11,782
Aurigny4.8%4.4%–5.2%11,097
Blue Islands6.1%5.7%–6.6%10,722
SunExpress0.5%0.36%–0.64%9,966
Delta2.9%2.6%–3.3%8,667
Pegasus1.1%0.9%–1.3%8,451
Iberia0.7%0.57%–0.95%7,886
TAP Air Portugal1.8%1.5%–2.1%7,734
Air Canada4.1%3.7%–4.6%6,687
Air India4.8%4.3%–5.4%6,164
Finnair6.1%5.5%–6.7%6,059
Saudia2.1%1.7%–2.5%5,546
Brussels Airlines2.7%2.3%–3.2%4,748
ITA Airways0.4%0.29%–0.68%4,504
Cathay Pacific1.8%1.4%–2.2%4,281
Singapore Airlines1.1%0.8%–1.5%4,258
Etihad0.7%0.5%–1.0%4,181
Eastern Airways14%13%–15%4,029
Austrian0.7%0.5%–1.0%3,794
Icelandair1.5%1.2%–2.0%3,735
Aegean0.8%0.5%–1.1%3,433
Luxair2.3%1.8%–2.8%3,229
JetBlue1.5%1.1%–1.9%3,156
Air China0.8%0.5%–1.2%2,952
EgyptAir0.9%0.6%–1.3%2,907
LOT0.7%0.4%–1.1%2,661
Gulf Air2.7%2.1%–3.5%2,232
KM Malta Airlines0.4%0.2%–0.7%2,230
Widerøe3.7%3.0%–4.6%2,221
Norse Atlantic3.6%2.9%–4.5%2,204
El Al1.6%1.1%–2.2%2,141
Royal Air Maroc1.5%1.0%–2.1%2,082
China Eastern Airlines0.3%0.1%–0.6%2,080

Caveats