Airport Disruption Odds

How often does weather delay flights at Oslo Gardermoen?

From January 2018 to September 2026, EUROCONTROL recorded arrival restrictions for weather (regulation reason W) at Oslo Gardermoen (OSL) on 278 of 3,195 days (8.7%). The worst month is January: 16% of days and 0.9 minutes of weather delay per arriving flight on average. Calmest: May (2% of days). Weather caused 81% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes at this airport. Source: EUROCONTROL.

Data: EUROCONTROL arrival regulation data, January 2018 – September 2026 · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

8.7%of days with weather restrictions on arrivals
0.24minutes of weather delay per arriving flight
81%of arrival-regulation delay caused by weather

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Month by month

MonthDays with weather restrictionsDays with ≥ 1 min per arrivalMinutes per arriving flight
January16%10%0.89
February12%7%0.35
March9%4%0.23
April4%2%0.15
May2%1%0.04
June12%7%0.27
July3%2%0.05
August6%2%0.09
September9%3%0.08
October9%2%0.13
November13%6%0.41
December10%5%0.39

Share of days on which EUROCONTROL's network manager limited arrivals because of weather at or around the airport (regulation reason W), 2018–2026. Minutes per arriving flight = weather-regulation delay ÷ all arrivals that month. Worst weeks of the year: week 3 (21%), week 23 (19%), week 44 (18%).

Year by year

YearDays with weather restrictionsMinutes per arriving flightArrivals
201855 of 3650.42128,703
201951 of 3650.29125,925
20208 of 3660.0461,281
20213 of 3650.0161,917
202218 of 3650.09102,806
202334 of 3650.29107,990
202454 of 3660.42109,751
202531 of 3650.21111,801
2026 (Jan–Sep)24 of 2730.1584,522

2020–2021: far fewer flights during the pandemic.

Weather among all causes

Cause of arrival regulationShare of delay minutes
Weather81%
Atc staffing9%
Aerodrome capacity3%
Atc equipment2%
Industrial action (atc)2%

Causes with at least 2% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes, 2018–2026.

What the weather was like on those days

In the airport's weather reports (METAR, 05–21 UTC)Days with weather restrictionsOther daysRatio
Thunderstorm reported11%3.0%3.6×
Fog or visibility under 800 m43%14%3.1×
Cloud base at or below 200 ft33%10%3.3×
Gusts of 30 knots or more3.2%2.6%1.3×
Crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway0.0%0.0%—
Snow41%17%2.5×
Freezing rain or drizzle9.0%1.8%—

On 15% of the restriction days none of these showed up in the airport's own reports: restrictions are also set on forecasts, for weather on the approach or elsewhere in the area, and when the wind direction forces a less efficient runway layout. The weather is what came with the delays, not proof of their cause. Based on 3,195 days with full METAR coverage.

The heaviest days

Date and reported weatherWeather delay, minutesArrivalsMinutes per arrival
7 January 2025
Snow
12,57821758.0
16 January 2018
Snow
9,66931430.8
2 November 2023
Snow; Freezing rain or drizzle
6,28930220.8
25 April 2023
Snow
5,93728720.7
16 March 2024
Fog or visibility under 800 m; Snow
5,67811947.7

What these numbers cover