Airport Disruption Odds

Aberdeen – Kirkwall: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,691 scheduled flights between Aberdeen and Kirkwall in 2025, 3.9% (95% range 3.1%–5.0%) were cancelled (58) or at least 3 hours late (about 9) — roughly 1 in 25. That is worse than 94% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 200 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 25flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,691
Cancelled58
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 9
On time or within 15 minutes84% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights9 minutes
Distance200 km (great circle, ABZ–KOI)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Aberdeen8463.5%2.5%–5.0%
To Aberdeen8454.4%3.2%–6.0%

Operated by Loganair (1,691 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
200 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Caveats

CAA destination name: Kirkwall.