Airport Disruption Odds

Aer Lingus at Birmingham: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 7,587 scheduled Aer Lingus flights to and from Birmingham in 2025, 4.0% (95% range 3.6%–4.5%) were cancelled (258) or at least 3 hours late (about 46). Other airlines at Birmingham: 1.2%; the 95% ranges do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Aer Lingus at all UK airports: 3.3%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

4.0%3+ hours late or cancelled
7,587scheduled flights 2025
69%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at Birmingham

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Aer Lingus at Birmingham7,5874.0%3.6%–4.5%
All other airlines at Birmingham76,8721.2%1.17%–1.33%
Aer Lingus at all UK airports71,9873.3%3.15%–3.41%

The 95% ranges of Aer Lingus and the other airlines at Birmingham do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at Birmingham

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Ryanair20,3190.6%0.48%–0.69%21
Jet215,7340.7%0.57%–0.83%31
easyJet14,4801.6%1.4%–1.8%158
Lufthansa3,5761.4%1.1%–1.8%45
KLM3,4052.2%1.8%–2.7%63
Air France2,4021.0%0.7%–1.5%24
Loganair2,2073.9%3.2%–4.8%81
TUI2,1351.1%0.8%–1.7%3

Aer Lingus flights at Birmingham in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)7,587
Cancelled258
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 46
On time or within 15 minutes69% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights16 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from Birmingham3,7944.2%3.6%–4.9%
Arrivals at Birmingham3,7933.8%3.2%–4.4%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Dublin3.3%2.8%–4.0%3,958£220
Belfast City4.7%4.1%–5.5%3,627£220

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled Aer Lingus flights in 2025; 5 smaller destinations are included in the totals only. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

Caveats