Airport Disruption Odds

Birmingham – Aberdeen: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,652 scheduled flights between Birmingham and Aberdeen in 2025, 4.3% (95% range 3.5%–5.4%) were cancelled (67) or at least 3 hours late (about 5) — roughly 1 in 23. That is worse than 95% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 529 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

4.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 23flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,652
Cancelled67
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 5
On time or within 15 minutes79% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights10 minutes
Distance529 km (great circle, BHX–ABZ)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Birmingham8355.7%4.3%–7.5%
To Birmingham8172.9%2.0%–4.3%

Operated by Loganair (1,651 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
529 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Birmingham EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.4% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Aberdeen.