Airport Disruption Odds

Birmingham – Belfast International: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,518 scheduled flights between Birmingham and Belfast International in 2025, 2.2% (95% range 1.7%–2.8%) were cancelled (46) or at least 3 hours late (about 9) — roughly 1 in 46. That is worse than 82% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 383 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 46flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,518
Cancelled46
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 9
On time or within 15 minutes81% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights11 minutes
Distance383 km (great circle, BHX–BFS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Birmingham1,2632.6%1.9%–3.6%
To Birmingham1,2551.7%1.2%–2.6%

Operated by easyJet UK (2,516 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
383 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Birmingham EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.4% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Belfast International.