Airport Disruption Odds

Birmingham – Copenhagen: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 520 scheduled flights between Birmingham and Copenhagen in 2025, 3.8% (95% range 2.5%–5.9%) were cancelled (18) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 26. That is worse than 94% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,002 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.8%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 26flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)520
Cancelled18
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes81% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights10 minutes
Distance1,002 km (great circle, BHX–CPH)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Birmingham2604.2%2.4%–7.4%
To Birmingham2603.4%1.8%–6.4%

Operated by SAS (520 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,002 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Copenhagen Kastrup EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 5.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Copenhagen.