Airport Disruption Odds

Birmingham – Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 551 scheduled flights between Birmingham and Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen) in 2025, 0.7% (95% range 0.3%–1.8%) were cancelled (3) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 138. That is better than 71% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,666 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 138flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)551
Cancelled3
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes63% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights18 minutes
Distance2,666 km (great circle, BHX–SAW)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Birmingham2761.1%0.4%–3.1%
To Birmingham2750.4%0.1%–2.0%

Operated by Pegasus (551 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,666 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Istanbul Sabiha Gökçen EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 5.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen).