Airport Disruption Odds

Cardiff – Amsterdam: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,454 scheduled flights between Cardiff and Amsterdam in 2025, 3.6% (95% range 2.8%–4.7%) were cancelled (52) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 27. That is worse than 93% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 566 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.6%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 27flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,454
Cancelled52
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes74% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance566 km (great circle, CWL–AMS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Cardiff7264.0%2.8%–5.7%
To Cardiff7283.3%2.2%–4.9%

Operated by KLM (1,446 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
566 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Amsterdam Schiphol EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 23% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Amsterdam.