Airport Disruption Odds

Edinburgh – Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 537 scheduled flights between Edinburgh and Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen) in 2025, 1.9% (95% range 1.0%–3.4%) were cancelled (7) or at least 3 hours late (about 3) — roughly 1 in 54. That is worse than 76% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,893 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 54flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)537
Cancelled7
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 3
On time or within 15 minutes66% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights18 minutes
Distance2,893 km (great circle, EDI–SAW)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Edinburgh2692.2%1.0%–4.8%
To Edinburgh2681.5%0.6%–3.8%

Operated by Pegasus (537 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,893 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Istanbul Sabiha Gökçen EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 5.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen).