Airport Disruption Odds

Edinburgh – Istanbul: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,207 scheduled flights between Edinburgh and Istanbul in 2025, 2.0% (95% range 1.3%–2.9%) were cancelled (20) or at least 3 hours late (about 4) — roughly 1 in 50. That is worse than 79% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,829 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.0%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 50flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,207
Cancelled20
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes78% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights9 minutes
Distance2,829 km (great circle, EDI–IST)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Edinburgh6042.1%1.3%–3.6%
To Edinburgh6031.8%1.0%–3.2%

Operated by Turkish Airlines (1,207 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,829 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Istanbul International EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 6.7% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Istanbul.