Airport Disruption Odds

Edinburgh – Kirkwall: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,264 scheduled flights between Edinburgh and Kirkwall in 2025, 2.8% (95% range 2.0%–3.8%) were cancelled (29) or at least 3 hours late (about 6) — roughly 1 in 36. That is worse than 89% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 336 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.8%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 36flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,264
Cancelled29
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 6
On time or within 15 minutes78% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights13 minutes
Distance336 km (great circle, EDI–KOI)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Edinburgh6282.1%1.2%–3.5%
To Edinburgh6363.4%2.3%–5.2%

Operated by Loganair (1,264 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
336 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Edinburgh EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 1.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Kirkwall.