Airport Disruption Odds

Exeter – Dublin: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 519 scheduled flights between Exeter and Dublin in 2025, 1.1% (95% range 0.5%–2.5%) were cancelled (2) or at least 3 hours late (about 4) — roughly 1 in 89. That is better than 51% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 357 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.1%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 89flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)519
Cancelled2
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes73% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights14 minutes
Distance357 km (great circle, EXT–DUB)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Exeter2591.5%0.6%–3.8%
To Exeter2600.7%0.2%–2.7%

Operated by Emerald Airlines (Aer Lingus Regional) (450 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
357 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Dublin EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 4.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Dublin.