Airport Disruption Odds

Exeter – Isles of Scilly: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 742 scheduled flights between Exeter and Isles of Scilly in 2025, 13% (95% range 11%–16%) were cancelled (95) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 8. That is worse than 100% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,630 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

13%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 8flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)742
Cancelled95
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes73% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights10 minutes
Distance5,630 km (great circle, EXT–STQ)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Exeter37212%9.2%–16%
To Exeter37014%11%–18%

Operated by Isles of Scilly Skybus (742 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,630 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Caveats

CAA destination name: Isles Of Scilly (St.Marys).