Airport Disruption Odds

London City – Luxembourg: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 3,012 scheduled flights between London City and Luxembourg in 2025, 2.2% (95% range 1.7%–2.7%) were cancelled (61) or at least 3 hours late (about 4) — roughly 1 in 46. That is worse than 81% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 482 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 46flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)3,012
Cancelled61
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes72% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights13 minutes
Distance482 km (great circle, LCY–LUX)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London City1,5092.5%1.8%–3.4%
To London City1,5031.8%1.2%–2.6%

Operated by Luxair (3,012 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
482 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Luxembourg EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 4.5% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Luxembourg.