Airport Disruption Odds

London City – Nice: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 905 scheduled flights between London City and Nice in 2025, 3.7% (95% range 2.7%–5.2%) were cancelled (22) or at least 3 hours late (about 12) — roughly 1 in 27. That is worse than 93% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,023 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 27flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)905
Cancelled22
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 12
On time or within 15 minutes48% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights30 minutes
Distance1,023 km (great circle, LCY–NCE)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London City4552.8%1.7%–4.8%
To London City4504.6%3.0%–7.0%

Operated by BA CityFlyer (905 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,023 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Nice-Côte d’Azur EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 4.4% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Nice.