Airport Disruption Odds

London Gatwick – Dubai: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,192 scheduled flights between London Gatwick and Dubai in 2025, 0.4% (95% range 0.2%–0.8%) were cancelled (3) or at least 3 hours late (about 6) — roughly 1 in 244. That is better than 88% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,474 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.4%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 244flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,192
Cancelled3
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 6
On time or within 15 minutes74% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance5,474 km (great circle, LGW–DXB)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Gatwick1,0960.5%0.3%–1.2%
To London Gatwick1,0960.3%0.1%–0.8%

Operated by Emirates (2,192 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,474 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Gatwick EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 17% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Dubai.