Airport Disruption Odds

London Gatwick – Paris (Orly): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,573 scheduled flights between London Gatwick and Paris (Orly) in 2025, 1.3% (95% range 0.9%–2.0%) were cancelled (21) or at least 3 hours late (about 0) — roughly 1 in 75. That is worse than 58% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 325 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 75flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,573
Cancelled21
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 0
On time or within 15 minutes83% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights8 minutes
Distance325 km (great circle, LGW–ORY)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Gatwick7871.4%0.8%–2.5%
To London Gatwick7861.3%0.7%–2.3%

Operated by Vueling (1,573 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
325 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Paris-Orly EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 16% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Paris (Orly).