Airport Disruption Odds

London Gatwick – Toronto: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 876 scheduled flights between London Gatwick and Toronto in 2025, 0.9% (95% range 0.5%–1.8%) were cancelled (4) or at least 3 hours late (about 4) — roughly 1 in 110. That is better than 61% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,739 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 110flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)876
Cancelled4
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes65% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights18 minutes
Distance5,739 km (great circle, LGW–YYZ)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Gatwick4380.9%0.4%–2.3%
To London Gatwick4380.9%0.4%–2.3%

Operated by Air Transat (876 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,739 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Gatwick EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 17% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Toronto.