Airport Disruption Odds

London Gatwick – Tunis: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 708 scheduled flights between London Gatwick and Tunis in 2025, 4.1% (95% range 2.9%–5.8%) were cancelled (0) or at least 3 hours late (about 29) — roughly 1 in 24. That is worse than 94% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,791 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

4.1%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 24flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)708
Cancelled0
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 29
On time or within 15 minutes48% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights44 minutes
Distance1,791 km (great circle, LGW–TUN)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Gatwick3553.9%2.4%–6.5%
To London Gatwick3534.2%2.6%–6.9%

By airline

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Tunisair3696.5%4.4%–9.5%0
Nouvelair Tunisie3391.5%0.6%–3.4%0

The 95% ranges of at least two airlines do not overlap, so the difference between them is unlikely to be chance. Airlines with at least 100 scheduled flights on the route; operating companies are shown as the CAA lists them (for example easyJet UK and easyJet Europe), because that decides whether UK261 or EU261 applies.

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,791 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Gatwick EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 17% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Tunis.