Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Belfast International: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,299 scheduled flights between London Luton and Belfast International in 2025, 0.7% (95% range 0.5%–1.2%) were cancelled (10) or at least 3 hours late (about 7) — roughly 1 in 135. That is better than 70% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 497 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 135flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,299
Cancelled10
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 7
On time or within 15 minutes79% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights11 minutes
Distance497 km (great circle, LTN–BFS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton1,1490.9%0.5%–1.6%
To London Luton1,1500.6%0.3%–1.3%

Operated by easyJet UK (2,299 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
497 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Luton EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 12% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Belfast International.