Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Belgrade: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 685 scheduled flights between London Luton and Belgrade in 2025, 0.9% (95% range 0.4%–1.9%) were cancelled (1) or at least 3 hours late (about 5) — roughly 1 in 114. That is better than 63% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,710 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 114flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)685
Cancelled1
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 5
On time or within 15 minutes83% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance1,710 km (great circle, LTN–BEG)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton3421.2%0.5%–3.0%
To London Luton3430.6%0.2%–2.1%

Operated by Wizz Air UK (685 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,710 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Belgrade Nikola Tesla EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.5% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Belgrade.