Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Ireland West (Knock): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,042 scheduled flights between London Luton and Ireland West (Knock) in 2025, 0.2% (95% range 0.1%–0.7%) were cancelled (0) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 521. That is better than 96% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 610 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 521flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,042
Cancelled0
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes83% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights9 minutes
Distance610 km (great circle, LTN–NOC)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton5210.0%0.0%–0.7%
To London Luton5210.4%0.1%–1.4%

Operated by Ryanair (1,042 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
610 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Luton EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 12% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Ireland West(Knock).