Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Istanbul: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 824 scheduled flights between London Luton and Istanbul in 2025, 1.1% (95% range 0.6%–2.1%) were cancelled (2) or at least 3 hours late (about 7) — roughly 1 in 92. That is better than 52% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,494 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.1%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 92flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)824
Cancelled2
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 7
On time or within 15 minutes81% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights14 minutes
Distance2,494 km (great circle, LTN–IST)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton4111.0%0.4%–2.5%
To London Luton4131.2%0.5%–2.8%

Operated by Wizz Air UK (824 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,494 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Istanbul International EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 6.7% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Istanbul.