Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Lisbon: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,757 scheduled flights between London Luton and Lisbon in 2025, 0.6% (95% range 0.3%–1.1%) were cancelled (9) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 160. That is better than 76% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,606 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.6%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 160flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,757
Cancelled9
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes58% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights20 minutes
Distance1,606 km (great circle, LTN–LIS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton8790.5%0.2%–1.2%
To London Luton8780.8%0.4%–1.6%

Operated by easyJet UK (1,757 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,606 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Lisbon EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 19% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Lisbon.