Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Nice: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 928 scheduled flights between London Luton and Nice in 2025, 2.7% (95% range 1.8%–3.9%) were cancelled (9) or at least 3 hours late (about 16) — roughly 1 in 37. That is worse than 88% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,074 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 37flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)928
Cancelled9
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 16
On time or within 15 minutes53% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights30 minutes
Distance1,074 km (great circle, LTN–NCE)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton4642.1%1.2%–3.9%
To London Luton4643.2%1.9%–5.2%

Operated by easyJet UK (928 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,074 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Nice-Côte d’Azur EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 4.4% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Nice.