Airport Disruption Odds

London Luton – Sofia: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,161 scheduled flights between London Luton and Sofia in 2025, 0.1% (95% range 0.0%–0.5%) were cancelled (1) or at least 3 hours late (about 0) — roughly 1 in 1,161. That is better than 99% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,050 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.1%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 1,161flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,161
Cancelled1
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 0
On time or within 15 minutes75% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights13 minutes
Distance2,050 km (great circle, LTN–SOF)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Luton5810.2%0.0%–1.0%
To London Luton5800.0%0.0%–0.7%

Operated by Wizz Air (1,161 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,050 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Luton EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 12% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Sofia.