Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Dubai: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,462 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Dubai in 2025, 0.2% (95% range 0.1%–0.6%) were cancelled (2) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 488. That is better than 95% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,460 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 488flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,462
Cancelled2
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes85% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights7 minutes
Distance5,460 km (great circle, STN–DXB)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted7310.3%0.1%–1.0%
To London Stansted7310.1%0.0%–0.8%

Operated by Emirates (1,462 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,460 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Stansted EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 11% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Dubai.