Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Karlsruhe/Baden-Baden: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,042 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Karlsruhe/Baden-Baden in 2025, 0.3% (95% range 0.1%–0.8%) were cancelled (1) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 348. That is better than 93% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 655 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 348flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,042
Cancelled1
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes66% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights16 minutes
Distance655 km (great circle, STN–FKB)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted5220.0%0.0%–0.7%
To London Stansted5200.6%0.2%–1.7%

Operated by Ryanair (1,042 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
655 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Stansted EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 11% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Karlsruhe/Baden Baden.