Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Keflavik: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 520 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Keflavik in 2025, 6.5% (95% range 4.7%–9.0%) were cancelled (32) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 15. That is worse than 98% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,885 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

6.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 15flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)520
Cancelled32
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes82% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights9 minutes
Distance1,885 km (great circle, STN–KEF)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted2616.9%4.4%–11%
To London Stansted2596.2%3.8%–9.8%

Operated by Play (493 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,885 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Stansted EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 11% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Keflavik.