Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Madrid: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,550 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Madrid in 2025, 0.4% (95% range 0.2%–0.8%) were cancelled (0) or at least 3 hours late (about 11) — roughly 1 in 232. That is better than 86% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,300 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.4%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 232flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,550
Cancelled0
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 11
On time or within 15 minutes60% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights22 minutes
Distance1,300 km (great circle, STN–MAD)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted1,2750.5%0.2%–1.0%
To London Stansted1,2750.4%0.2%–0.9%

Operated by Ryanair (2,550 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,300 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Madrid Barajas EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 12% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Madrid.