Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Marseille: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,413 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Marseille in 2025, 1.3% (95% range 0.8%–2.0%) were cancelled (6) or at least 3 hours late (about 12) — roughly 1 in 79. That is worse than 56% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,010 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 79flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,413
Cancelled6
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 12
On time or within 15 minutes58% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights24 minutes
Distance1,010 km (great circle, STN–MRS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted7071.0%0.5%–2.0%
To London Stansted7061.6%0.9%–2.8%

Operated by Ryanair (1,413 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,010 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Marseille-Provence EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 1.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Marseille.