Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Porto: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,135 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Porto in 2025, 0.5% (95% range 0.3%–0.9%) were cancelled (6) or at least 3 hours late (about 4) — roughly 1 in 214. That is better than 84% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,363 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 214flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,135
Cancelled6
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes70% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights16 minutes
Distance1,363 km (great circle, STN–OPO)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted1,0670.3%0.1%–0.8%
To London Stansted1,0680.7%0.3%–1.3%

Operated by Ryanair (2,076 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,363 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Porto EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 17% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Oporto (Portugal).