Airport Disruption Odds

London Stansted – Sofia: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,797 scheduled flights between London Stansted and Sofia in 2025, 0.2% (95% range 0.1%–0.5%) were cancelled (0) or at least 3 hours late (about 3) — roughly 1 in 599. That is better than 97% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,012 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 599flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,797
Cancelled0
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 3
On time or within 15 minutes66% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights16 minutes
Distance2,012 km (great circle, STN–SOF)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Stansted8980.1%0.0%–0.6%
To London Stansted8990.2%0.1%–0.8%

Operated by Ryanair (1,797 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,012 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Stansted EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 11% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Sofia.