Airport Disruption Odds

Southampton – Alderney: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,439 scheduled flights between Southampton and Alderney in 2025, 10% (95% range 8.8%–12%) were cancelled (103) or at least 3 hours late (about 44) — roughly 1 in 10. That is worse than 99% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 151 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

10%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 10flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,439
Cancelled103
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 44
On time or within 15 minutes76% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights22 minutes
Distance151 km (great circle, SOU–ACI)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Southampton7209.9%7.9%–12%
To Southampton71911%8.5%–13%

By airline

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Aurigny1,32811%9.5%–13%103
Isles of Scilly Skybus1110.0%0.0%–3.3%0

The 95% ranges of at least two airlines do not overlap, so the difference between them is unlikely to be chance. Airlines with at least 100 scheduled flights on the route; operating companies are shown as the CAA lists them (for example easyJet UK and easyJet Europe), because that decides whether UK261 or EU261 applies.

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
151 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Southampton EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Alderney.