Airport Disruption Odds

How often does weather delay flights at Madeira?

From January 2018 to September 2026, EUROCONTROL recorded arrival restrictions for weather (regulation reason W) at Madeira (FNC) on 85 of 3,184 days (2.7%). The worst month is July: 5% of days and 0.2 minutes of weather delay per arriving flight on average. Calmest: October–November (1% of days). Weather caused 98% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes at this airport. Source: EUROCONTROL.

How it works ↓

Data: EUROCONTROL arrival regulation data, January 2018 – September 2026 · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.7%of days with weather restrictions on arrivals
0.14minutes of weather delay per arriving flight
98%of arrival-regulation delay caused by weather

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Month by month

MonthDays with weather restrictionsDays with ≥ 1 min per arrivalMinutes per arriving flight
January2%2%0.06
February2%2%0.08
March3%2%0.33
April5%4%0.22
May3%3%0.13
June2%2%0.09
July5%4%0.23
August3%2%0.14
September2%2%0.06
October1%1%0.07
November1%1%0.04
December2%1%0.19

Share of days on which EUROCONTROL's network manager limited arrivals because of weather at or around the airport (regulation reason W), 2018–2026. Minutes per arriving flight = weather-regulation delay ÷ all arrivals that month. Worst weeks of the year: week 27 (14%), week 19 (10%), week 15 (8%).

Landing at Madeira Airport (Funchal, ICAO LPMA, IATA FNC) is considered tricky because of the wind, and EUROCONTROL data for January 2018 – September 2026 bear this out: on days with a weather restriction on arrivals (arrival regulation), gusts of 30 knots or more showed up in 79% of cases, against just 14% on ordinary days. Fog, low cloud, snow and freezing rain went unrecorded in the reports on such days (0%). The restrictions themselves are rare: 85 days out of 3,184, that is 2.7%, and an average of 0.14 minutes of weather delay per arriving flight. By share of such days Madeira ranks 49th out of 94 airports on the site, somewhere in the middle of the table. Trouble on the island is uncommon, but when it does happen the cause is nearly always the same: weather accounted for 98% of all delay minutes from arrival restrictions.

Wind, months and years: how often weather slows down arrivals

A weather restriction on arrivals (arrival regulation, ATFM) is imposed by EUROCONTROL as Network Manager, with reason code W (weather). Aircraft flying to the island then wait on the ground for departure or hold in the air. A crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway was also more frequent than usual on restriction days, 4.7% against 0.4%, but gusts remain the main marker. On 20% of days with restrictions, nothing alarming appears in the airport's own METAR reports: the restriction is imposed on the strength of the forecast as well as weather on approach to the island.

The hardest day of the period was 4 March 2026: 1,699 minutes of weather delay across 74 arrivals, that is 23.0 minutes per flight, with gusts up to 35 knots. Restrictions fall most often in July and April (5% of days); October and November are the quietest (1%). Year to year the picture shifted noticeably. In 2019 there was not a single such day, in 2024 there were 15, in 2025 there were 25, and in January–September 2026 alone there were already 23. If you are picking dates for your trip, autumn is the calmest season by these figures.

What these figures do not show

EUROCONTROL counts only delays caused by arrival restrictions. Go-arounds, diversions and cancellations are not included in these numbers, nor do departure delays. A day with a restriction does not mean every flight ran late: the delay minutes are spread unevenly across that day's arrivals. So treat 2.7% as the frequency of difficult days, not as your chance of a cancellation. For comparison with the Canary Islands: Lanzarote had weather restrictions on 5.4% of days and Tenerife North on 4.1%, both more often than Madeira. Nearby routes are covered on the pages for Gran Canaria, Fuerteventura, Lisbon and Porto; how the shares of days are worked out is explained in the methodology.

Year by year

YearDays with weather restrictionsMinutes per arriving flightArrivals
20182 of 3650.0712,188
20190 of 3650.0011,947
20200 of 3550.005,592
20212 of 3650.028,326
202210 of 3650.1014,186
20238 of 3650.0915,779
202415 of 3660.1416,155
202525 of 3650.3118,227
2026 (Jan–Sep)23 of 2730.3214,110

2020–2021: far fewer flights during the pandemic.

Weather among all causes

Cause of arrival regulationShare of delay minutes
Weather98%

Causes with at least 2% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes, 2018–2026.

What the weather was like on those days

In the airport's weather reports (METAR, 05–21 UTC)Days with weather restrictionsOther daysRatio
Thunderstorm reported1.2%0.9%—
Fog or visibility under 800 m0.0%0.0%—
Cloud base at or below 200 ft0.0%0.0%—
Gusts of 30 knots or more79%14%5.6×
Crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway4.7%0.4%—
Snow0.0%0.0%—
Freezing rain or drizzle0.0%0.0%—

On 20% of the restriction days none of these showed up in the airport's own reports: restrictions are also set on forecasts, for weather on the approach or elsewhere in the area, and when the wind direction forces a less efficient runway layout. The weather is what came with the delays, not proof of their cause. Based on 3,184 days with full METAR coverage.

The heaviest days

Date and reported weatherWeather delay, minutesArrivalsMinutes per arrival
4 March 2026
Gusts of 30 knots or more (gusts to 35 kt)
1,6997423.0
14 December 2025
Gusts of 30 knots or more (gusts to 31 kt)
1,3936820.5
24 April 2018
Gusts of 30 knots or more (gusts to 33 kt)
8074717.2
7 July 2025
Gusts of 30 knots or more (gusts to 30 kt)
706769.3
1 July 2025
Gusts of 30 knots or more (gusts to 35 kt)
5453217.0

What these numbers cover