Airport Disruption Odds

Aberdeen – London Heathrow: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 4,809 scheduled flights between Aberdeen and London Heathrow in 2025, 2.6% (95% range 2.2%–3.1%) were cancelled (114) or at least 3 hours late (about 12) — roughly 1 in 38. That is worse than 87% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 647 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.6%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 38flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)4,809
Cancelled114
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 12
On time or within 15 minutes82% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights8 minutes
Distance647 km (great circle, ABZ–LHR)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Aberdeen2,4032.8%2.2%–3.6%
To Aberdeen2,4062.4%1.9%–3.1%

Operated by British Airways (4,802 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
647 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Heathrow.