Airport Disruption Odds

Air China at London Heathrow: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,743 scheduled Air China flights to and from London Heathrow in 2025, 0.7% (95% range 0.4%–1.2%) were cancelled (5) or at least 3 hours late (about 7). Other airlines at London Heathrow: 1.8%; the 95% ranges do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Air China at all UK airports: 0.8%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1,743scheduled flights 2025
81%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at London Heathrow

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Air China at London Heathrow1,7430.7%0.4%–1.2%
All other airlines at London Heathrow480,0971.8%1.77%–1.84%
Air China at all UK airports2,9520.8%0.5%–1.2%

The 95% ranges of Air China and the other airlines at London Heathrow do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at London Heathrow

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
British Airways243,7991.6%1.55%–1.65%3,078
Virgin Atlantic23,1401.7%1.58%–1.92%327
American Airlines15,8384.6%4.3%–5.0%442
Lufthansa14,7161.6%1.4%–1.9%231
United Airlines13,8013.4%3.1%–3.7%253
Aer Lingus13,5601.1%0.92%–1.27%127
SAS9,8870.9%0.70%–1.06%76
Swiss8,7011.3%1.1%–1.6%111

Air China flights at London Heathrow in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,743
Cancelled5
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 7
On time or within 15 minutes81% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights10 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from London Heathrow8720.8%0.4%–1.6%
Arrivals at London Heathrow8710.6%0.2%–1.3%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Beijing Capital0.8%0.5%–1.4%1,451£520
Chengdu Tianfu0.0%0.0%–1.3%292£520

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled Air China flights in 2025. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

Caveats