Airport Disruption Odds

TAP Air Portugal at London Heathrow: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 4,308 scheduled TAP Air Portugal flights to and from London Heathrow in 2025, 1.4% (95% range 1.1%–1.8%) were cancelled (44) or at least 3 hours late (about 16). Other airlines at London Heathrow: 1.8%; the 95% ranges overlap, so the difference may be chance. TAP Air Portugal at all UK airports: 1.8%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.4%3+ hours late or cancelled
4,308scheduled flights 2025
57%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at London Heathrow

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
TAP Air Portugal at London Heathrow4,3081.4%1.1%–1.8%
All other airlines at London Heathrow477,5321.8%1.77%–1.84%
TAP Air Portugal at all UK airports7,7341.8%1.5%–2.1%

The 95% ranges overlap, so TAP Air Portugal is not clearly better or worse than the other airlines at London Heathrow. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at London Heathrow

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
British Airways243,7991.6%1.55%–1.65%3,078
Virgin Atlantic23,1401.7%1.58%–1.92%327
American Airlines15,8384.6%4.3%–5.0%442
Lufthansa14,7161.6%1.4%–1.9%231
United Airlines13,8013.4%3.1%–3.7%253
Aer Lingus13,5601.1%0.92%–1.27%127
SAS9,8870.9%0.70%–1.06%76
Swiss8,7011.3%1.1%–1.6%111

TAP Air Portugal flights at London Heathrow in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)4,308
Cancelled44
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 16
On time or within 15 minutes57% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights20 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from London Heathrow2,1541.6%1.1%–2.2%
Arrivals at London Heathrow2,1541.2%0.8%–1.8%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Lisbon1.4%1.1%–1.8%4,308£350

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled TAP Air Portugal flights in 2025. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

Caveats