Airport Disruption Odds

Belfast International – Newcastle: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,775 scheduled flights between Belfast International and Newcastle in 2025, 0.7% (95% range 0.4%–1.2%) were cancelled (5) or at least 3 hours late (about 8) — roughly 1 in 137. That is better than 71% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 293 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 137flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,775
Cancelled5
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 8
On time or within 15 minutes85% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights9 minutes
Distance293 km (great circle, BFS–NCL)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Belfast International8880.7%0.3%–1.5%
To Belfast International8870.8%0.4%–1.6%

Operated by easyJet UK (1,775 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
293 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Caveats

CAA destination name: Newcastle.