Airport Disruption Odds

Bristol – Jersey: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 709 scheduled flights between Bristol and Jersey in 2025, 8.0% (95% range 6.2%–10%) were cancelled (34) or at least 3 hours late (about 23) — roughly 1 in 12. That is worse than 99% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 245 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

8.0%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 12flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)709
Cancelled34
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 23
On time or within 15 minutes60% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights33 minutes
Distance245 km (great circle, BRS–JER)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Bristol3548.6%6.1%–12%
To Bristol3557.5%5.2%–11%

Operated by Blue Islands (647 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
245 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Bristol EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 1.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Jersey.