Airport Disruption Odds

Jersey – East Midlands: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 535 scheduled flights between Jersey and East Midlands in 2025, 5.5% (95% range 3.9%–7.8%) were cancelled (19) or at least 3 hours late (about 11) — roughly 1 in 18. That is worse than 98% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 407 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

5.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 18flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)535
Cancelled19
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 11
On time or within 15 minutes62% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights27 minutes
Distance407 km (great circle, JER–EMA)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Jersey2675.5%3.4%–9.0%
To Jersey2685.5%3.4%–8.9%

Operated by Blue Islands (499 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
407 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Caveats

CAA destination name: East Midlands International.