Airport Disruption Odds

Jersey – Exeter: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 678 scheduled flights between Jersey and Exeter in 2025, 5.0% (95% range 3.6%–6.9%) were cancelled (18) or at least 3 hours late (about 16) — roughly 1 in 20. That is worse than 97% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 191 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

5.0%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 20flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)678
Cancelled18
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 16
On time or within 15 minutes71% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights23 minutes
Distance191 km (great circle, JER–EXT)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Jersey3454.9%3.1%–7.7%
To Jersey3335.0%3.2%–8.0%

Operated by Blue Islands (592 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
191 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Caveats

CAA destination name: Exeter.