Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Addis Ababa: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 733 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Addis Ababa in 2025, 0.8% (95% range 0.4%–1.8%) were cancelled (5) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 122. That is better than 66% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,920 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.8%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 122flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)733
Cancelled5
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes76% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights11 minutes
Distance5,920 km (great circle, LHR–ADD)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow3681.1%0.4%–2.8%
To London Heathrow3650.5%0.2%–2.0%

Operated by Ethiopian Airlines (733 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,920 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Addis Ababa.