Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Baltimore: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 683 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Baltimore in 2025, 2.2% (95% range 1.3%–3.6%) were cancelled (12) or at least 3 hours late (about 3) — roughly 1 in 46. That is worse than 82% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,834 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 46flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)683
Cancelled12
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 3
On time or within 15 minutes61% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights20 minutes
Distance5,834 km (great circle, LHR–BWI)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow3411.8%0.8%–3.8%
To London Heathrow3422.6%1.4%–4.9%

Operated by British Airways (683 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,834 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Baltimore.