Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Basel-Mulhouse: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,520 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Basel-Mulhouse in 2025, 1.9% (95% range 1.5%–2.6%) were cancelled (47) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 51. That is worse than 77% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 718 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 51flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,520
Cancelled47
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes83% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights8 minutes
Distance718 km (great circle, LHR–BSL)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow1,2601.7%1.1%–2.5%
To London Heathrow1,2602.2%1.5%–3.2%

Operated by British Airways (2,520 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
718 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Bâle-Mulhouse EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.9% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Bale Mulhouse.