Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Casablanca: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 898 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Casablanca in 2025, 1.0% (95% range 0.5%–1.9%) were cancelled (8) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 100. That is better than 57% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 2,094 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.0%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 100flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)898
Cancelled8
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes53% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights21 minutes
Distance2,094 km (great circle, LHR–CMN)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow4491.1%0.5%–2.6%
To London Heathrow4490.9%0.3%–2.3%

Operated by Royal Air Maroc (898 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
2,094 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Casablanca Mohamed V.