Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Detroit: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 735 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Detroit in 2025, 2.7% (95% range 1.8%–4.1%) were cancelled (7) or at least 3 hours late (about 13) — roughly 1 in 37. That is worse than 88% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 6,045 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 37flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)735
Cancelled7
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 13
On time or within 15 minutes77% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights15 minutes
Distance6,045 km (great circle, LHR–DTW)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow3683.8%2.3%–6.2%
To London Heathrow3671.6%0.7%–3.5%

Operated by Delta (734 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
6,045 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Detroit.