Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Florence: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 963 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Florence in 2025, 1.7% (95% range 1.0%–2.7%) were cancelled (9) or at least 3 hours late (about 7) — roughly 1 in 60. That is worse than 71% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,218 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 60flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)963
Cancelled9
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 7
On time or within 15 minutes80% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance1,218 km (great circle, LHR–FLR)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow4840.8%0.3%–2.1%
To London Heathrow4792.5%1.4%–4.3%

Operated by British Airways (963 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,218 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Florence.